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curl-6 said:
zorg1000 said:

Looking more like the gap shrank by 9 million or more in 2018.

YTD 2018 (2 weeks left)

NSW-14.3m

XBO-6.9m

Difference-7.4m

 

Last 2 weeks 2017

NSW-1.86m

XBO-0.73m

Difference-1.13m

 

Switch is having a significantly stronger December than last year while XBO is roughly flat. Up ~30% vs up ~2% in first half of month. If the next two weeks follow that than it will be

Last 2 weeks of 2018

NSW-2.42m

XBO-0.74m


2018 Total

NSW-16.72m

XBO-7.64m

Difference-9.08m

Ah, I didn't realize, thanks.

Still, that means we'll have to go from a 9 million gain in 2018 to a 13.5 million gain in 2019. Not impossible, but still a big enough jump to be far from guaranteed.

I would say it's highly likely that Switch sees further growth in 2019 and XBO has a moderate decline so even if it doesnt pass XBO in 2019 it will be very close and should easily do it in the first few months of 2020.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.