PS4 sales surpass 91.6 million, Spiderman over 9 million

[Bofferbrauer2]

colafitte said:

Bofferbrauer2 said:

Veeery much doubt that.

1. I don't think the PS4 will drop that much in price outside of promotions. 50$ each is way more probable

2. PS4 doesn't have the same lineup of great games and recognizable IP this time around. It's not bad, but can't compete with last year's MHW, GoW or Spiderman, to just name a few.

3. Switch not doing any pricecut while in their third year would be pretty much unheard of. I don't expect very much to be fair (299$ with a game included, 269$ becoming a new base model plus a 299$ Model with bigger internal memory (64GiB or 128GiB, depending on how fast Flash Memory gets cheaper) but no game or just a Free to Start with maybe some store credits and/or unique items/skins preinstalled. That's not very much of a pricedrop, but hey, it's something.

4. 17M are a lot. PS4 made 18M this year, and that's 2M less despite it's stellar game releases this year. I said I expected 13-15M in another thread and I'm willing to extend that maybe to 16M, but that's really maximum, even with TLOU II. Market really starts to get saturated, I'm sure sales will drop off quite a bit in the following months compared to last year.

1. 17M is based on that price cut. If PS4 does not receive that then it will be around 16M.

2. First half of the year already has KH3, RE2, DMC5, Anthem, The Division 2, Rage,... And TLOU 2 is bigger than GOW and Spiderman, so yes, if it launches in 2019, between that, days gone, dreams and maybe death stranding 2019 could be even better lineup wise.

3. Fair point. I just think Nintendo is going to prefer less sales but a higher profit like all the companies are doing right now. If switch repeats or surpass 2018 sales it shouldn't need a price cut.

4. PS4 is perfectly capable of doing 16-17M next year. It's a Playstation console and there is no ps5 or Xbox next yet in the horizon. It still going to sell a LOT. People should not underestimate what PS4 is capable to do as time has proved. 

1. If a pricecut would only affect 1M in sales, I'm very sure Sony wouldn't even bother.

2. TLOU2 may be bigger than GoW (not so sure about Spiderman anymore), but the first one is on the PS4 as well, so it's Playerbase most probably has a PS4 already. Same goes for RE2, Division 2, DMC5 and Anthem (which basically is just EA's version of the Division), while Rage is much smaller than the other named games. That leaves KH3, which should be in the ballpark of MHW at best. Days Gone and Dreams look nice, but I don't believe that they have nearly as much draw power as Spiderman or GoW, and I seriously doubt Death Stranding getting released this year.

4. PS4 has been down by 2M despite an outstanding games lineup. Like I explained before, I think this year's PS4 lineup, while miles away from bad, isn't just as stellar as last year's lineup, and saturation is starting to kick in more and more. Oh, and if PS5 and XBN are not yet on the horizon, why then is there so much talk about them? They haven't been officially unveiled yet, but their hype is slowly mounting all while the one of the PS4 and XBO are slowly deflating. That's not saying that the PS4 won't sell well anymore, I just don't see it doing anywhere near 17M anymore, 13-15M is more what I would expect.