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I think it has a shot at selling 10 million lifetime, maybe 5 million at the end of the year. 20 if they add in Bowsette :P (or Daisy, what about Daisy?!)
I wasn't very excited for this at first but when I went back and watched some gameplay videos I remembered this is actually the best New Super Mario Bros. game and is the closest to having actual world building and a cohesive universe in the "New" series. Plus decent level design. So I think it'll get some word of mouth.