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2019?

Switch does around 18-19m
PS4 does around 16-17m
XB1 does around 6-7m

I think in 2019 you will see official price cuts down to 199$ for both the PS4 & XB1.
Might be a reveal of PS5/XB2 as well (though they wont be sold until 2020)

Dreams, Days Gone, Death Stranding... and maybe Ghosts of Tsushima all release and review well.