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Miyamotoo on 03 January 2019
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RolStoppable said:
super_etecoon said:
Either way you look at this, you've got to give Nintendo credit for keeping up with demand of the Switch. I haven't seen any retailers run out of the system except maybe during its first month on the market. Considering the abysmal failure the WiiU was, it shows the confidence Nintendo had in the Switch and their foresightedness to allow for increased production if it were successful, unlike the Wii era. I'll be very curious, though, if they will set as ambitious of numbers for their projections for 2019 as they did for 2018. The fact that their numbers aren't in line with their very high projections for this year has been more of a story than their true success almost. Of course, maybe they'll double down after actually hitting that crazy target if December's sales are what we are seeing rumored here.

Wii production was higher than Switch production. Wii saw a more prolonged shortage because demand for it was significantly higher than for Switch, especially in the USA which you base your anecdote on. In the USA Wii was supply constrained throughout 2008 (its second year) despite selling a whopping 10m units; Switch in 2018 (its second year) is heading for 6m.

Nintendo's projection for the fiscal year ending March 2020 will likely be very similar to whatever Switch manages in the fiscal year ending March 2019, so I expect that they'll take a more conservative approach despite the plan to launch a revision during that fiscal year.

If Nintendo realy hit 20m target with launch price this FY, I can bet that next year when they will have much stronger lineup, very possible price cut and revision, they will forecast something closer to 25m instead of 20m.