So... Will Nintendo be able to ship those 20 million Switch units?

[zorg1000]

colafitte said:

zorg1000 said:

Sales this quarter

US-~4 million, add 10-15% for Canada & Latin America brings us to ~4.5 million for Americas. That would bring shipments to ~5 million.

Japan-1.75 million so shipments of ~2 million.

Other-consistently been 80-90% of Americas shipments so 4+ million.

 

That would give an 11 million shipment quarter which would mean just under 4 million needed for Q4 which did 2.93m last year. Holiday/Smash momentum and 2D Mario releasing in Jan can give it the extra million over last year.

 

Worst case scenario is missing by 1-1.5 million.

5M shipment for America could be right in my opinion, but the "Other" regions you use, have never been any close to what US numbers do for Nintendo consoles, so there won't be 4M+ coming from "there".

4'5-5M from Americas, 1'5M from JP, 3-3'5M for the rest of the world, 9-10M in the end worldwide.

That is where you are wrong.

Americas-9.13m

Other-8.20m

That is ~90% of Americas. It has been this way nearly every quarter.