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colafitte said:

I must still live in another dimension regarding this topic, seriously. How is going to reach 20M SHIPPED by March if Switch is going to end SELLING around 16-16'5M in 2018 ?(is around 13M with 3 weeks left to end the year). By Q3 official numbers, Swith should be around 32M SHIPPED, so add another 2M, 3M max for Q4 and you have 35M at most and 34M at worst. To reach 20M shipped they need to be close to 38M by March end. In other words...is not happening.

Sales this quarter

US-~4 million, add 10-15% for Canada & Latin America brings us to ~4.5 million for Americas. That would bring shipments to ~5 million.

Japan-1.75 million so shipments of ~2 million.

Other-consistently been 80-90% of Americas shipments so 4+ million.

 

That would give an 11 million shipment quarter which would mean just under 4 million needed for Q4 which did 2.93m last year. Holiday/Smash momentum and 2D Mario releasing in Jan can give it the extra million over last year.

 

Worst case scenario is missing by 1-1.5 million.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.