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colafitte on 03 January 2019
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Amnesia said:
colafitte said:

I must still live in another dimension regarding this topic, seriously. How is going to reach 20M SHIPPED by March if Switch is going to end SELLING around 16-16'5M in 2018 ?(is around 13M with 3 weeks left to end the year). By Q3 official numbers, Swith should be around 32M SHIPPED, so add another 2M, 3M max for Q4 and you have 35M at most and 34M at worst. To reach 20M shipped they need to be close to 38M by March end. In other words...is not happening.

This is precisely why me and a few others have invested in shares...It is because most of people don't see it happening.

Consider also that a 19M would only mean a miss by 5%, which should be considered as a victory as well.

Is not reaching 19M either....

Look, Switch is having a tremendous Q3, as expected by most, but the problem was the pace for the rest of the year. Switch needed 15M shipped consoles in Q3+Q4 and that's something that only prime Wii or prime PS2 were able to do. 

Switch is going to ship around 9-10M in Q3 and around 3-2M (depending on how much ended Q3), for a total of 12-13M in those quarters, and around 17-18M by March. Still an impressive number for a second year home console. Is just that 20M number was nuts from the begining.