In progress NPD predicting tool

[Replicant]

Bofferbrauer2 said:

Replicant said:

It sounds in line with the trend that PS4 is down 10% yoy.

Last December PS4 did 1.08m. 10% down would mean the PS4 is going to do 972,000 this December.

Wasn't December last year only 4 weeks? I remember that January was 5 weeks this year, so selling less despite having an additional week would be pretty bad and actually a worse downward trend than "just" 10%

NPD December is always 5 weeks.

In 2017, it covered the 5 weeks running from November 26 to December 30 and it included Cyber Monday sales.

In 2018, it doesn't include Cyber Monday so PS4 should definitely follow the yoy trend and be down at least 10%.

 

Edit: Here's Mat Piscatella's tweet. NPD December in 2018 covers the 5 weeks running from December 2 to January 5.

Last edited by Replicant - on 03 January 2019