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nidavellir said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

I'm very bullish on this issue.  I don't think Switch will get anything that sells like Wii Sports, but it will have an unprecedented number of 10m+ sellers.

Games released in first 24 months:
Zelda: BotW
Mario Kart 8
Splatoon 2
Super Mario Odyssey
Super Mario Party*
Pokemon Let's Go
Smash Bros
NSMB U

I'm giving Super Mario Party a 0.5, because I'm not sure if it will cross 10m or not, so that is 7.5 total.  I think there will be a similar number of first party games during the rest of Switch's lifetime bringing the total to 15.  I also think there will be a few third party games that cross the line, somewhere between 3-7 titles.  

Grand total: 18 - 22 total that sell 10m+

I can't think of a single 3rd party game that could cross 10M sales on a Nintendo console (the best are Monster Hunter and Yo-Kai Watch, and there's no way those are gonna sell that much), what do you have in mind when you say that ?

Every generation has third party hits that become really big.  Some come totally out of nowhere like Minecraft.  Others are sequels that break out from a more niche following like GTA2 -> GTA3.  For generation 9, I think these kinds of titles will be on the Switch.  

Hard to say which titles exactly, but I wouldn't be surprised at all if the next Monster Hunter title sold 10m+ on Switch.