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I'll just repost what I posted in the preview comment section:

People on this site are so silly. MGS4 had awesome first week sales, comparable to when MGS3 launched on the PS2, with a userbase 8.5 times bigger than the PS3 userbase right now. I don't understand how on earth anyone expected the same amount of raw sales from the game (Close to 1 million), for a console with 8.5 times less than when MGS3 launched on the PS2. We're talking about a console with eleven percent of the install base of another. I mean, if the game got close to a million, we'd be talking about a forty or forty-five percent attach rate for this game, whereas MGS3 on the PlayStation 2 only achieved a six percent attach rate (when it launched), take into the fact what it sold compared to the overall install base in Japan, the attach rate is much worse (aruond 2-3 percent).

I mean seriously, the only people that expected "much higher" second-week sales were people who are not supportive of the PlayStation 3 or MGS4. And the replies I can see in this thread corroborate this generalization. It's a damn shame that this is going to be the story of this week from the haters, and I will be having to copy and paste this paragraph over and over, and have it fall on deaf ears... *sigh* This is going to be a long week.

I'll add that the game will obviously drop in all areas, but the biggest drop (percentage wise) will be in Japan, but I only expect 100k or so in both EU and NA.