zorg1000 said:
Nintendo Switch-March 2017 Xbox One X-Nov 2017 Switch released right in between the mid-gen upgrades for PS4/XBO and they have had no noticeable effect on Switch and vice versa.
PS5/XB4 are likely coming in late 2020 which is ~3.5 years after the Switch launch and should be right around the time Switch gets it's own mid-gen upgrade (3DS, PS4, XBO all got 3-4 years after launch). This should help negate any potential decline caused by the new PS/XB consoles. |
But its not the same thing.
Those Mid gen upgrades you speak of are really just more of the same thing. Same old 3/4 year old consoles under the hood. Same library and family of games of which the NS also shared.
The media circus around a new console spearheading a new generation is a lot bigger than what was around upgraded consoles in an already 3+ year old generation. And there will be two of them.
Between the PS4 and XB1 they had 7M+ (supply constrained) sales in their first 6 weeks. Those upgrades probably achieved less than 2M sales combined in their first 6 weeks if aligned. Very different thing.
I dont think a mid gen upgrade can in anyway shape or form be compared to new hardware. Much less two of them. Like the whole industry/media will be talking about everything PS5/XB4 related for a big chunk of 2020. This is akin to games shifting their release date so they don't launch around games like RDR2 even if they are very different games.