November NPD 2018 Thread

[zorg1000]

Intrinsic said:

zorg1000 said:

Well like I just showed you consoles dont just disappear after the successor releases, sales decline but they dont just stop.

Look at those two examples I gave, PS3 & 360 sold 5.5 & 4 million in the years after PS4 & XBO released.

Even Wii which was known for having an extreme drop sold another 2.5 million in the years after Wii U released.

DS sold like 11 million after 3DS released.

PSP sold like 7 million after Vita released.

 

If Switch is at 79 million when its successor released it should sell very close to 85 million.

 

Also a 2021 release is only 4 years after Switch, does that really sound realistic to you?

All true. But none of that will happen if what I think will happen happens. Its something nintendo has done twice before, first with the GBC and then with the 3DS. Its also why I believe it will happen after 4yrs of the switch being out cause that coincides with 7nm fabrication maturity.

Nintendo will most likely release a NS+ or something like that and kill off the original NS. And for like a year or so we will see cross platform games for the NS and NS+ and eventually more and more games will only be available on the NS+. Its kinda a way of padding the platform and ensuring continuity. 

As I have said they have done this before. And at that point the argument will be if we should call it a new console or not even though it has its own exclusives. 

I get what you are saying with GBC, it had a ton of exclusives but Nintendo still considered it the same platform as GB.

But when did they do that with the 3DS? You mean New 3DS? That had like 4 or 5 exclusives in its ~4 years on the market. Hardly enough to consider it a new platform.

If they release a Switch+ in 2021 it will likely be something along the lines of New 3DS or PS4 Pro, a mid-gen upgrade that has a handful of exclusives at the absolute most.