November NPD 2018 Thread

[peachbuggy]

DonFerrari said:

peachbuggy said:

Of course there is some overlap between their major franchises just not as much as you think. As the Switch ages, those attach rates will go down. You really think you can use Ninyendo's biggest asset against the Switch being a huge seller? It really doesn't work that way. If the Switch is trending between the 3ds and Wii then likely it will end up somewhere around there. However, an argument can be made to it outlegging the Wii. It's actually trending along the lines of the Ps4 but i would be incredibly naive to expect it to have Ps4-like legs!

The point is that carring Switch to let's say 40-50M on Nintendo 1st party alone is one thing, to pass 80M without significant 3rd party support is another. And that is where the overlapping came in question.

Well, i guess none of us can predict the future and there are quite a few different permutations. I think you have a point but we will be a little wiser post-NPD. Being that the Switch is a hybrid it's probably hard to compare to any of Nintendo's past consoles. However, i'm looking at its momentum right now and imo it would take a spectacular collapse in sales for it not to reach at least 90m+.