November NPD 2018 Thread

[peachbuggy]

Intrinsic said:

peachbuggy said:

Believe me, Nintendo's IP's have very dedicated, different (and vocal) individual fanbases. You may think it won't make much of a difference but i beg to differ. Plus, there are "new" players joining a consoles' infrastructure all the time, at times making these fanbases bigger. It's also already been addressed here before but so far Nintendo have only really gone after the HC crowd with their strategy/price point. Next year i believe, with Animal Crossing and Pokemon (HH orientated titles), they will begin to go after the HH crowd. So, probably expect a price cut to get nearer mass market HH price point. Then from that time onwards their dream of having multiple owners per household will become more of a possibility, whilst all the while the userbase will be growing to 50m+. So, all in all i don't see Switch market penetration becoming a problem at all at 40m+ userbase.

Let me try and prove my point.

According to nintendo like 22.8M NS has been sold.

Their top selling games are.....

 

1.  SMO - 12.1M
2. MK8 - 11.7M
3. LZBoTW - 10.2M
4. Splatoon2 - 7.4M
5. 1-2S, MTA, Arms, Kirby - all did around 2M

You still don't think there isn't a lot of overlapping? Especially when you consider that all those games made almost 75% of their sales before the NS was even 1yr old. I don't even think Any PS4 game (outside COD) managed 10M sold before the console was 2 years old.

And then look at the WiiU. Mk8 sold 8M t a 15M install base??? And all its other top sellers sold around 5M with the exception of Zelda;BOTW which probably didnt even do up to 1M. Wonder why?

Of course there is some overlap between their major franchises just not as much as you think. As the Switch ages, those attach rates will go down. You really think you can use Ninyendo's biggest asset against the Switch being a huge seller? It really doesn't work that way. If the Switch is trending between the 3ds and Wii then likely it will end up somewhere around there. However, an argument can be made to it outlegging the Wii. It's actually trending along the lines of the Ps4 but i would be incredibly naive to expect it to have Ps4-like legs!