Wow! Just waded through this entire thread. So many differing opinions! My take is that come December NPD, it will be enough to change some peoples' even long term Switch sales perceptions and estimates. I wouldn't be surprised at a 2.5m+ December NPD and Smash to break a longstanding individual game sales record. Then, the 20m FY shipped amount will look more attainable. Long term growth will look more attainable and a higher FY shipments forecast for Switch FY 2019 by Nintendo will be more likely. Also, for those saying Nintendo fans buy Nintendo consoles for their 1st party games, therefore all are onboard already, this isn't necessarily the case. Within Nintendo's IP's lay very different individual IP fanbases and these in no way necessarily completely overlap. There are probably more than a few waiting for the next Metroid release for example.
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In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!