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Y'all expecting the Switch to barely best the 3DS and ending up at like 80 millions are in for a surprise.
The consumers weren't interested in the 3DS to begin with and it got a significant price cut in it's first year to start selling, but the Switch being already more expensive and without any cuts and barely any deals (best one was the MK8 bundle and it's BF only..) it's outpacing the 3DS.

Sure 2018 was kinda dry in system sellers, but i really think 2019 will be on another level. Nintendo didn't change their target for the FY and it would be really terrible to not reduce it if things were looking like so. It's way better to reduce your goal than meet the expectations then not reaching it by aiming too high.
Let's say it's at 30 million by the end of 2018. It would need 50 million in 4 years minimum to reach that 80 million. 2018 is clearly not it's peak, no revision yet, no system seller during the whole year. 2019 is looking so much bigger and better than this year and i think it really has a shot at selling through 20 + millions, sure thing if the new switch hardware rumours are true.

Don't see it having a Wii like peak but will easily have better legs. Once it gets cheaper, it will be a multiple console by household type of thing. 80 million would be the absolute worst case scenario.