November NPD 2018 Thread

[zorg1000]

Intrinsic said:

Nate4Drake said:

It depends from Nintendo. If they will keep releasing upgraded version of Switch for the next 6 years, it might happen; but you know it would means nothing as PS5 will be out from Nov 2020 most probably, it will be the new workhorse of Sony and PS4 will start little by little fading.  A new gen is starting after the absolute dominion of ps4, so what will happen in NA in 2023-2025 on the clouded and forgotten stage PS4 vs Switch means absolutely nothing. PS5 will be probably ruling again, a new underpowered Nintendo console will be out, trying to compete with Sony and Microsoft which are in the market with their new consoles since 2-3 years alredy.

 This generation is over, PS4 has dominated; we will see with next gen what will happen.

And this is something I feel a lot aren't considering when it comes to the switch. 

 

Is the switch going to go to 80M lifetime sales on the back of Nintendo first party alone? Cause that is what it will need to do. Because once the PS5/XB2 comes along those ports that the NS are getting now won't be there anymore. The power divide will just be too much. 

 Do people really think the arrival of the PS5 and XB2 will not affect the switch in anyway? Do people really think that nintendo first party alone is enough to carry a platform to 80M+ sales? Outside the Wii when has nintendo ever managed that feat? The secnd we start talking abut sales and exclude the call od duties next fortnite next overwatchs` next doom' next fifa and next GTA then nintendo is left solely with its first party. In a world where it cant even sell as a handheld device alone.

Right now it is positioned as a home console that can be taken on the go since it costs a similar amount and can handle a decent amount of PS4/XBO games. But what about 3 years from now?

Will it still be marketed that way or will they adapt? Will it have a couple price cuts and revisions and start to be positioned more as a handheld that can hook up to a TV?

Will a hypothetical $199 Switch Mini really be affected by $399-499 home consoles? Were GB/GBA/DS/3DS affected negatively by the far stronger and more expensive home consoles from Sega/Sony/Microsoft?

You question whether or not Switch can reach 80 million but seem to ignore that 3/4 of their handhelds accomplished that while the 4th will only end up a few million short of that mark.