PS4/XBO/NS - 2017 vs. 2018: Final Results!!!

[Bofferbrauer2]

chakkra said:

PAOerfulone said:

I price cut will help, but not by much. I think we're going to see the PS4 baseline noticeably decline in 2019. This year will finish slightly above 2015-2016 levels. Next year, we're going to see the baseline go back down to 2014 levels.

Call me optimistic but I think that if they drop the price low enough ($250-350 for PS4/pro and $230-400 for X1S/X) both machines will be able to match this year's numbers.

I think PS4 could hold it's sales mainly due to it's superb 1st party offerings this year. Next year won't be able to keep that up and sales will go down. The fact that neither the Switch or the Xbox had any exclusives throughout most of the year that could hold a candle against them meant it faced rather weak competition, too. Next year doesn't look like Nintendo will have everything around the holiday season, so PS4 will face much stiffer competition throughout the year, and the age and saturation will start taking their toll.

In short, I believe PS4 sales will go down even with strong pricecuts. However, those (and their timing) will decide as to where the sales next year will end up - I expect somewhere between 12-15M