Well, IF all developers team decide to port all their games to both Xbox360 and PS3 and IF Xbox360 and PS3 sales are able to jointly catch up to Wii sales someday, and IF developers have people to work on both PS3 and Xbox360 ports (I was thinking some small Japenese developers might not have people for Xbox360), then from a third party point of view they have an equal chance of a successful game as if they published it on the Wii. It seems it would be a good idea to choose Wii anyway.
Essentially all this talk about porting is actually wrong in my view, since most games will also be ported to the Wii anyway. Why should they not port it to Wii if they would only need 30-40k to break even?
Yeah if Microsoft and Sony team up they might be able to stop Wii now, but I guess for new IPs they will not be a first target. Maybe they will have the same established IPs.
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