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colafitte on 29 November 2018
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colafitte said:

In fact Rol, to argument my theory why the numbers can be correct, I want to say that those numbers from VGC are from a different set of days. If those 5 days instead of 400k like you said are 300K, for example, then there's 650k units sold in that period being 250k-300k the rest of the month which can be probable too.

Because we don't  know which days were better for Switch last year...., (if 5 days prior BF or after), we can not assume anything. If what i'm saying is correct, then every number given by Nintendo is correct.

But that's just my theory...

I ran the numbers with a base value of 300k in my original post and it created an odd weekly average for the weeks before Black Friday. I don't rule it out completely that the 8.2m LTD figure is correct, but maths and circumstances make it more likely that the figure is indeed incorrect. The circumstances are that Pokémon Let's Go sold through 1.5m copies quickly and that there was a Mario Kart 8 Deluxe bundle, so November 2018 being ~1m while November 2017 was 770-800k is too small of a year over year increase.

You can't prove any of that. One game that sells 1'5M of course can make a console sold better... If Switch sold 900-950k units until November 26 that's already around a 25% growth YOY and it lacks the rest of days of November. Besides, we don't know exactly how much stock that Mario Kart bundle had either. Like i said, by November 26 Switch could be around 950k too, and if you sum the rest of the days for November, Switch could be perfectly selling around 1'1M...that's a lot of growth YOY, more considering people are waiting for Smash next month.