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fatslob-:O said:
If it's an estimated sales target then the numbers seem perfectly within reasonable bounds. Considering that the Switch has been up by around ~25% this year and last year it sold ~13M units that extrapolates to ~16M units sold ...

Sure Pachter's prediction is a conservative underestimate but it's nothing that would be deemed as an "outlier" so to speak ...

Last FY his prediction = 8m and Switch FY number = 15.5m. 

You should modify your OP because it's very difficult to understand what is who's prediction, when, and what is the real result.