Worldwide Charts Yearly Total - October 13th

[DonFerrari]

Mnementh said:

DonFerrari said:

You don't need to preach to the choir... I know it is FY and shipment. Still if Nintendo ends up the calendar year much close to PS4 it will be hard to see why they would ship 2.5M more on the next quarter, after the bigger part of sales was made and just stuff the channel for bragging rights and then need to cut down shipment for the next 1 or 2 quarters and end up doing a much lower projection for the next year and look as already in decline.

Also shipments aren't fruit of solely manufacturer wish, they need stores to order and not only they can't overship forever they also really need to see the flow of units to really require.

Yeah, I have doubts myself Nintendo will reach their shipment goal. But even if PS4 edges out a win in sales in 2018 it could in the end mean shipments are higher for Switch. Because, as I said, pre-peak shipments are bigger than sales, post-peak it's the other way around. It does not have to do anything with channel stuffing though, retailers simply order more if they see increasing sales, while with plummeting sales they are more hesitant and reduce their stock.

Yes I agree that PS4 may sell more than Switch but ship less because PS4 already had more in channel and is expected to start declining. But from like PS4 selling 18M shipping 16M (sure now after revisions could be 18.5M sold and 18M shipped) and Switch selling 17M and shipping 20M would be quite the odd occurrence.