| Miyamotoo said: But thats main diffrenence, Nintendo wants Switch to have life span (I dont talk about sales) more like 3DS, not like Wii. Wii had first 4 years very strong and after than Nintendo just left support and they start focusing on 3DS and Wii U, Switch will probably have similar trajection like 3DS through years with longer life span but just with stronger sales (best 3DS years was like 14-15m, and even without this year that will be 18-20 m Switch is tracking ahead of 3DS). Wii will be stronger than Switch first 3-4 years in any case, but Switch has chanche after those first 3-4 years. It will be very easy for Switch to have much longer life span than Wii, Switch will be more like 3DS with multiple revisions and different price points. Also dont be sure that this year they will ship 18m, 18m is probably minimum, they have good chanche hitting 20m. Dont forget, Switch still has launch price point and only one revison, its not hard imagine that for instance next year with Pokemon Gen 8 and Animal Crossing, price cut and revision sell more than 20m. If Switch or Wii for instance proved, is that they dont need strong support of AAA to have great succes. Of Course that I had only 3% on Switch when they didn't release not single of their biggest games that actually bring most revenue for them. Actually that's crucial, Switch is not just home console, point thats hybrid in same time brings plenty of 3rd party support, for instance, you can bet one of main reasons why games like Diablo 3 or CIV6 are released on Switch is full handheld play mode. Also worth mentione that most Japanese Vita/3DS developers massively migrated to Switch, there is no week we dont have at least one or two Japanese announcement. |
Well, I guess we will have to wait and see, but i stand in my prediction. Maybe you're right and Swith will have a better pace than 3DS with similar longevity (i admit it's possible) or maybe Nintendo won't care to lower the price and go for the profit and Switch starting to be punished by next gen in 2 years like i said.
Is just that with so few AAA games or super popular gimmicks like Wii Sport like games i don't see how Switch could be able to reach more than 80M sales...3DS had an enormous support from Nintendo and after 7 years it still haven't reached 75M sold..... I can't see Switch lasting that much when despite being some of the best games available you can make so many 1st party games per year, and no, ports of old games won't save the console in the future either.
Last edited by colafitte - on 22 November 2018
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