| Miyamotoo said: We will see, I dont think that next gen will effect to much on Switch support, even now most of Switch 3rd party support is made most from A-AA games, late ports, last gens ports and Indies, on other hand Switch is getting incrased that kind of support, so next year I expecting even more 3rd party support not less. Talking about Nintendo support, next year we have Animal Crossing and Pokemon for now, in 2020. we could have new 3D Mario, Mario Maker 2, new 3D Zelda...talking about general support, I think worst time pass for Switch in any case, things can be only better. 80m is like bare minimum that Switch will do LT, Wii numbers are realistically achievable. I mean they will be at around 37m after two first years on market, and that's without price cut or any kind of revision. Dont forget, Nintendo said they want Switch to have longer life span than usual 6 years, and that means multiply revisons and strong support (from Nintendo at least). |
I see more Switch as the succesor of 3DS than the Wii, saleswise i mean. Wii in its first 25 months shipped around 45M already and the next 12 months were the biggest home consoles sales we ever seen with another 25M shipped. By this time next year Wii will probably be ahead by more than 15M consoles shipped and after that Wii shipped another 20M the next year....
Switch won't match the pace of the Wii and depite being able to survive more time than Wii (maybe), it still won't be able to catch up in the end. 100M sold is a lot, it requires more than 2 or 3 years of absolute dominance, and Switch have yet to prove that in one year, because i don't see Switch doing better than this year in 2 o 3 years and this year will sell around 18M. 80M is still an enormous success for a primarly only Nintendo games focused console and is still a more sensible prediction than expecting 100m sales....
Edit: and by the way, by 3rd party support, i mean triple AAA 3rd party support, the likes from Activision, EA, Ubisoft, etc....Ubisoft just announced that Switch only accounted for 3% of the sales of the year, and Ubisoft is the one of them that support more the Switch. There's a limit to ported games from previous gens an audience can support too. I think 3rd party support will grow worse, like with every Nintendo home console....
Last edited by colafitte - on 22 November 2018
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