I think Sony will take November too, that $199.99 Spider-Man bundle is just too much of a no brainer buy.
PS4 is showing late gen legs because of the PS4 Pro model as well, that's a game changer, as hardware manufacturers embrace mid-gen refreshes you will see stronger late gen performance.
But Switch should have a healthy November too and take December though it could be close. Again the Pro/X model effect is going to prevent a lot of the late gen decline you would normally see.