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Megiddo said:
Kai_Mao said:

Last year, while the Switch has Mario Odyssey in October, it had nothing else noteworthy until Xenoblade 2 in December, and that game, while great, was not gonna sell consoles like Mario or Zelda or Pokemon.

Last year  was the first time during the holidays to buy a Switch for Zelda BOTW, MK8D, Splatoon 2, and SMO.  It had 4 dynamite games to sell last year for those wanting a Christmas gift. Switch had the perfect first year lineup, whereas the second year basically comes down to Pokemon and Smash.

People are seriously, seriously selling last year's lineup short and/or are vastly overestimating this year's lineup.

Last years lineup is still selling consoles though and will continue to do so this holiday.

Calendar year shipments

BOTW 2017-6.70m, 2018-3.58m

MK8D 2017-7.33m, 2018-4.38m

Splat2 2017-4.91m, 2018-2.56m

SMO 2017-9.07m, 2018-3.10m

 

They will all add at least a couple million to those numbers this holiday as well.

It's essentially flat YOY for the first 10 months on the strength of last years evergreens along with a handful of mid-tier titles (Kirby, Donkey Kong, Mario Tennis, Mario Party).

To think it wont be comfortably up once actual major system sellers appear seems a bit odd to me.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.