PS4 Won October NPD (PS4 > NS > XBO)

[Megiddo]

Kai_Mao said:

Megiddo said:

I agree with you. That's a very big reason I'm far more bearish on Nintendo this holiday. It's just that everybody is expecting sky high numbers for the Switch, and I simply can't figure out why. I keep seeing 'well it shipped 7 million last year so there's no issue with it shipping a few million more than that'. But I don't see sort of logic being applied. I don't see any rationale. It's just bizarre.

Last year, while the Switch has Mario Odyssey in October, it had nothing else noteworthy until Xenoblade 2 in December, and that game, while great, was not gonna sell consoles like Mario or Zelda or Pokemon.

Last year  was the first time during the holidays to buy a Switch for Zelda BOTW, MK8D, Splatoon 2, and SMO.  It had 4 dynamite games to sell last year for those wanting a Christmas gift. Switch had the perfect first year lineup, whereas the second year basically comes down to Pokemon and Smash.

People are seriously, seriously selling last year's lineup short and/or are vastly overestimating this year's lineup.