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Barkley said:

So now results are in, seems this is the first month this tool got the positioning wrong. Seems the end of year is definitely going to be difficult to predict in this way, however it did perform admirably for the summer months. Used ratios from tool against NPD sales numbers to make the bottom table, which makes it easier to understand how undertracked/overtracked each system was imo.

Ratios


PS4 Switch XBO
NPD 1 0.75 0.62
Tool 0.66 1 0.74

Sales


PS4 Switch XBO
NPD 340k 260k 215k
Tool 224k 340k 251k

Thanks.

XB1 and Switch ratios are pretty close. I wonder if it's possible to implement some changes that make the tool more reliable during the holiday months. Regardless, it's still impressive if Symbios has made a tool that can predict ratios in 9 of the year's 12 months.

 

Yeah, that's kinda dickish of you Kerotan. The tool has been impressive so far. How should it be able to predict holiday months if we discard it before it has ever been used in those holiday months? Give it a chance to evolve.