Wanna predict how much the Switch will sell?

[zorg1000]

Shadow1980 said:

Replicant said:

I know it's a little off topic, but I'd be very interested to see your yearly sales expectations for Switch, PS4 and XB1 from 2013-lifetime sales.

According to VGC, PS4 is something like below, right? What do you think it'll end up selling in 2018-lifetime sales?

2013: 4.4 M
2014: 14.6 M
2015: 17.5 M
2016: 17.6 M
2017: 20.1 M
2018: 17.5 M (shipment forecasting)
2019: ?
2020: ?
2021: ?
2022: ?
2023: ?
2024: ?
2025: ?

The actual official sales (as in actual sold to customers, not shipments) for the PS4 has been:

2013:   4.2M
2014: 14.3M
2015: 17.4M
2016: 17.5M
2017: 20.2M

So, VGC is overtracking it by a bit. In any case, the official sales figure for 2018 for the period of Jan. 1 to July 22 was 7.6M. After accounting for the different dates for Sony's mid-year updates in sell-through figures, the PS4 may be slightly up globally. 

It did 7.6 million in 29 weeks (~262k/week) this year while it did 7.0 million in 23 weeks last year (~304k/week).