Miyamotoo said:
x-blades12 said:
Like many people have already said here. Q2 and Q3 are up year and year. Last year's quarterly for the holiday season was at 7.24 million, if we follow the trend, q1+q2 sold 4.89m. Our current cumulative is sitting at 5.07m. That would be up roughly ~3.7% (I could be doing this all wrong) but if we just base it solely on trend then 7.24*1.037~7.51m. This is not factoring into account both Pokemon and smash. Top that off with all the games released in the past year plus available bundle,s makes switch a far more appealing system than it was 1 year ago.
Even if we kept the estimates low, we could assume the switch would sell 8m this quarter. I'd predict anything between 8-10m is more than feasible.
So with that said. if we say its sitting at 8m that would have it sitting at 13m. 7 m short. I can't find the q4 2018 report from January to March, but iirc it was at ~4m? so at 4m we would see sales sitting at 17m. I'd prop that up to about 5m or 18m.
Prediction:
min: 18m
max: 20m |
This year in January-March period Switch sold 2.9m, saying that this FY Q4 same period will probably be quite stronger (3.5m+), it will have effect of Pokemon Lets Go, Smash Ultimate, NSMBU DX..
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Haha thanks for this, but if its 2.9m that makes it a heck of a lot tougher. 3.5 is a good guess but it sets to about 16.5m. This makes 20m a hard sale. I still feel like it could happen though
