In progress NPD predicting tool

[Nuvendil]

JRPGfan said:

Megiddo said:

Score another win for this tool!

PS4 takes September with leaked ratios from NPD of around

PS4:  1.00
NS:    0.62
XBO: 0.41

This continues to be extremely accurate tool at not only picking the winner, but also a solid ballpark estimate for the ratios of hardware sold.

Hell yeah!
Tool is awesome (even if both XB & Switch where slightly over estimated by tool).

with a base of 425k, this is what the tool predicted:
PS4 = 425k
NSW = 297k (37k over)
XB1 = 191k  (16k over)

Pretty darn close all things considered.

This is somewhat guess work from me, but I think that spikes generated by new SKU introductions sometimes distort the tool slightly.

 

This next quarter will be interesting though.  October through December was the trouble period for Amazon's accuracy due to how crazy things get so it will be interesting to see if this tool adequately compensates.