bananaking21 said:
Kyuu said:
There's no doubt that the vast majority of us predicted the Switch to beat PS4 in NPD 2018; and this is on the very logical presumption that PS4 would get its long-overdue "permanent" pricecut before August (It didn't). All in all, we moderately overestimated Switch for reasons including Labo's potential and 2017's stock issues which made the demand for the foreseeable future look greater than it turned out to be. More evergreen games, the new model, and a price drop should liven things up, so my expectations for 2019 remain very high.
PS4 was underestimated mainly due to its age. Not many consoles peak on their 5th year, let alone without an official price drop. Nintendo's optimistic projection as opposed to Sony's pessimism also contributed to the poor predictions in general.
I actually predicted PS4 to be up year on year worldwide, but the basis of that was the permanent pricecut and Kingdom Hearts 3 releasing this holiday, I would have never thought PS4 can do so well without the aforementioned.
As for Switch, it's overperforming in parts of Europe and slightly underperforming in USA relative to my expectations. Can't comment on Japan since the handheld community is heavily reliant on a low price range. If Nintendo doesn't drop the price down to $150 at one point, then it wouldn't shock me if it it fails to outsell 3DS or even PSP.
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Did you really expect Kingdom hearts 3 to have a huge impact on PS4 sales? An even bigger one than Spiderman or RDR? Because the way you're wording it seems to Indicate that KH3 was going to catapult PS4 sales. Honestly I doubt it will have any affect at all. Maybe a slight bump that week in Japan.
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I expect PS4 to sell 100k in Japan when kingdom heart 3 is released. It sold 140k when Monster Hunter world was released. Great post Kyuu !
Last edited by globalisateur - on 20 October 2018
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