Is this community able to apologize ?

[The_Liquid_Laser]

RolStoppable said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

Ask and you will receive.
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=235151&page=1

I remember that I read that thread, but I didn't comment in it. I didn't disagree with the prediction because it's a possible and realistic outcome, but your reasoning with a multiplier of 2.5 was and is bad, because it's so arbitrary and not backed up by anything other than it seeming to be right to you.

The 2.5 comes from the idea that BotW will sell like original Zelda, but it needs to be scaled up for the modern market.  PS2:NES has approximately a 2.5:1 ratio.  Obviously that is a rough estimate, but I felt it was a conservative one since the population has grown since generation 6.

 

I checked my own special thread to see how the shipment numbers have developed for both games in 2018.

Breath of the Wild has shipped 1.78m and 0.84m in the first two quarters of calendar year 2018.
Super Mario Odyssey has shipped 1.34m and 0.76m.

The bigger discrepancy of Q1 can be easily explained by slight overshipping of Super Mario Odyssey during its launch quarter, so Q2 should be considered more representative and the upcoming financial report on October 30th should confirm that. Things will probably develop in line with your prediction that it won't happen fast, but that it will happen. I think you'll be off on 16m at most for Super Mario Odyssey though, but that was more of a secondary part in your prediction, and predictions rarely play out 100% correct.

That is possible.  Putting a floor on BotW was easy.  Putting a ceiling on Odyssey was hard, mostly because I don't really know how high Switch will sell.  I still hold it will be the best selling console of all time, but by how much?  Will it just barely pass PS2 or will it go up to crazy 250m+ total?  If the Switch goes up to insane numbers then it will take Odyssey up there with it.