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Kai_Mao on 11 October 2018
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zorg1000 said:

I refute that due to userbase argument. First couple years for both Vita and PS4 were rather poor compared to the massive userbase of PSP/PS3, SW multiplat sales were to be expected low. NSW doesn't have that excuse. To put it another way PS4 and Vita had very little chance to have high selling games as demonstrated by the time they got their first million seller years after release. NSW got a million seller within a year or 2 and is on par with the other consoles already, so the multiplat games should be selling much better. Though his post may be hyperbole, there still is significant advantage to PS4 games > Swtich games for same day releases.

"For the first couple years of PS5, many multiplat titles will likely sell as much or more on PS4/NSW." will remain true unless PS5 has massive sales out of the gate like the NSW imo.

Like you said earlier demographics are more important than install base. The install base doesnt matter if the audience for those games is not on the system yet.

The big 1st party games on Switch along with rapidly decreasing/non-existant major 1st party titles on 3DS/Wii U has ensured that fans of those franchises are moving over rather quickly.

The same cannot be said when it comes to 3rd party titles because in most cases they are either late ports or the franchises audience is still active on other platforms (like early Vita/PS4 3rd party titles) and have little reason to move over if they aren't also big fans of Nintendo franchises.

3rd parties need to build an audience for their multiplatform titles on Switch just like they had to for Vita & PS4.

I wonder what will it take for the audience buy these types of third party games on Switch..

Hardware sales are expected to be crazy with Pokemon and Smash coming up this year and 2019 is showing great signs of potential.

If Octopath Traveler can find success (albeit as an exclusive) along with games like Disgaea 5 Complete, Super Bomberman R, Mario + Rabbids, Ultra SF II, Bethesda games, along with many indies, etc., I don't see why others cannot find success.