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I think it will reach 6 million. That is because I believe PSVR2 will not release alongside PS5 (2020 is my prediction), but a year later. I don't think Sony will want to overwhelm the consumers with multiple (relatively) expensive products. They will want people to be able to afford PS5 (and some games) and a year later when "the bank account has money again" to spend that money on PSVR2. Also this will give more R&D time for PSVR2 and more time for first party games for it. The horsepower of PS5 will be able to push PSVR1's specifications to the max and play its games "the way they were meant to be played", so owners of it will also see improvements to their current library.