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psychicscubadiver on 04 October 2018
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psychicscubadiver said:

'When they have to actually choose between Switch, PS5 and XB2, Switch will not be a priority'

This is what puzzles me. Why do you assume consumers must choose between them? People are already fine with buying both systems. Why do you assume that fact will change because a new gen of PS/Xbox systems?

And just to add something else to the discussion the paired buying is primarily in NA/Europe. In Japan the Switch has been dominating the PS4 in sales since the shortage was solved. It has 70% of the PS4's sales (4.9 vs 7.0 million) despite a *much* shorter life (1.5 vs 4.5 years).

Why is that thinking so strange to you?
Do people have unlimited financial resources or an infinite amount of time to spend on gaming?
People have to make choices. And they do that based on priorities.

What do you think is the most likely scenario (in 2017), people spending 300$ on a PS4, more on PSN and game(s) + 300$ Switch + game(s), OR those people who already bought 80+ million consoles, buying a Switch in higher numbers than newer PS4/XB1 users?
Personally, the most reasonable choice is the latter.
Those 70% kinda hint at the console being adopted by an old PS4/XB1 user , as the contrary would mean that there are a lot of people out there  with a huge financial freedom, to, in a year where PS4 even went up, to spend an additional 350$ (at least, on day 1). It would also mean that a vast number of old users , who happen to be same userbase, ignored everything Switch related.

I know that Japan is another story. But i don't really think it really changes things.

'Unlimited financial resources'?

Neither system is *that* expensive, but thank you for explaining why you made that flawed assumption. You're assuming that not only are people unable/unwilling to buy two systems, but that everyone is an early adopter. Many people wait for a console to gain a significant game library and drop in price. That's why consoles tend to peak in sales 2+ years after release. Switch will be at that point when PS5/Xbox 2 release at full price making it a great buy for those waiting for the new consoles. PS/Xbox owners who are early adopters have likely already picked up the Switch because if they are early adopters, they will have bought it early in its life cycle.

The country with the second largest video game market doesn't change things? That seems like a deliberate choice to ignore things that don't fit your opinion. If the Switch does as well as the 3DS (and it's outpacing it in a launch comparison) that 23 million in Japan alone.