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The Renate Alumnius thing is a bit of a red herring. No one seriously thinks that the confirmation turns on it.

One thing I would say is that this discussion can get tied up in knots if people try to play amateur sleuth or say “he's lying because he lost his temper” or “she's lying because she was too cool”. The fact is that we don't know either way there is likely to be doubt at the end of the process, because this is the real world and not an episode of Elementary. The question is whether we can live under the shadow of a doubt, and the Supreme Court has functioned with Clarence Thomas on it these many years.

If doubt is removed then it will be a different matter.