Can NSMBUD sell 10 million?

[zorg1000]

DélioPT said:

zorg1000 said:

I dont really get your Smash Bros point. 3 systems have had both a 2D Mario & Smash Bros game, only Wii had a massive difference between the two so your point is moot.

As for the bolded, that's literally the entire point I'm making. Switch will have a much bigger install base than Wii U so Wii U ports have a lot more potential to sell.

And you're wrong about Pokken, it has already sold more on Switch than it did on Wii U. And maybe you're right about Lego City but I'm talking about Nintendo IP, I guess I should have clarified that.

What i'm trying to say is that the expectable thing to happen would be NSMB U clearly ahead of Smash. Bigger franchise and whatnot.
To me, that didn't happen because the game did not have enough value (not the series, mind you) to push it firmly ahead of Smash.
My point being, if Smash could sell that much (better if not for the 3DS port), then, it would be reasonable to expect NSMB U to outsell it by more than 600k.

I'm not talking about a massive gap, btw.

To be clear, i'm also taking into account the 3DS port. 
The game sold 13.5+ millions. Wii U accounted for 5.07 millions.
Had the game come out only on Wii U and it would have easily surpassed NSMB U.  

But i'm not against it selling more on Switch. I never was.
The point has been that i see the 10M sales probably too high for this specific title. 
I also said that i'm open to a surprise.

For some reason it's being read as if i'm claiming that the game won't sell that much or better than the original. That's not the case.
To quote myself: "I'm not sure".

Last time i checked, there were a few titles (i think that at that time, there were fewer ports, too) that did not manage to sell the same on an equally sized userbase.
The beahaviour is also evident on PS4 (probably XB1. Didn't check).

You do realize that 3DS got a 2D Mario just a few months before Wii U did just like what happened with Smash? It could also be argued that NSMB2 on 3DS affected NSMBU sales on Wii U like you are saying about Smash.

I never argued about you saying it wouldn't hit 10m, my original reply to you was saying that PS3/360 ports on PS4/XBO is not a good comparison to use since we have a handful of Wii U ports on Switch to compare to and the trend is that they sell better than the original release.