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Kerotan said:
Thanks for the thread. Personally i think ps4 will do 18m+. Sony were very Conservative with their 16m prediction and I think 17m is lowballing it too. Black ops 4 with blackout, bfv with battle royale mode, fortnite first holiday and Sony have the bundle rights, rdr2 and their mega hit spiderman. Plus fifa 19 will be huge in Europe. I just can't see them doing under 18m. Now if they cut the price we are talking 20m+ but I think they'll stick with holiday promotions and roll in the cash.

PS4 can't keep up with last year. It sold 20M in 2017, but is already over 1.5M behind in this year despite such sellers like Monster Hunter World or God of War. Spiderman might give it a short uptick, but considering weekly sales are behind last year by about 50-70k, it won't be enough to fight the general trend.

I do think 17M is doable for this year with PS4 at 199.99$ and Pro at 299.99$ from BF to end of year, as then it could outdo last year's December, which was pretty weak comparatively speaking, but 18M is too much imo unless PS4 is heavily undertracked this summer.