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I think as a series Smash has the best chance of beating Halo 3 first week, it always seems to be the most hyped up game for Nintendo systems, but I think it won't do it with only like 25 million users when it comes out. I suppose there is a chance that Pokemon next year could do it if it comes out at the holidays. First pokemon console game ever and Switch user base will be over 40 million, I could maybe see close to 1 in 10 Switch owners buying Pokemon first week.