How Much Do You Expect the Nintendo Switch to Sell Lifetime?

[curl-6]

zorg1000 said:

curl-6 said:

Doesn't matter if you owned a Wii U or not, games from 2014 are not new. 

Games like Zelda BOTW and Mario Odyssey absolutely do not have as many releases this year as the mediocre filler like Party/Tennis. Smash is literally the only game releasing on Switch this entire year that can reasonably be called one of Nintendo's top shelf productions.

They are for the people buying a Switch along with those games which is the whole premise of this thread and discussion, Switch sales.

There are more Zelda games than there are Mario Party and there are about the same amount of Smash games as there are Mario Tennis.

The only "top-tier" games that are exclusive to Switch in 2017 were Splatoon 2 & Odyssey while 2018 has Pokemon & Smash Bros. It's the same.

If it came out years, ago, it is by definition not new.

And the difference is that Smash and Zelda are Nintendo typically doing their best, where Mario Party/Tennis are mediocre filler.

BOTW may not have been exclusive but it was not an old port, it was a day and date multiplat, plus Kingdom Battle and Xenoblade 2 from 2017 are also in a league above any of 2018's games outside of Smash.

To bring it back to sales, 2018's pattern of one AAA exclusive per year will never get them to the 100 million plus sales they say they are aiming for. Their Q1 hardware sales are flaccid, they will most likely fail to hit their 20m FY forecast. They need to try harder and release a steady stream of big NEW games going forward into 2019 and 2020 if they are serious about Switch passing the Wii lifetime.

EDIT: I don't really feel like getting up tomorrow morning and spending my day off continuing this topic, so I'm gonna unfollow here.

Last edited by curl-6 - on 24 August 2018