JSG87 said:
Replicant said:
I think Lawlight's point is that Switch needs strong sales now if it's as front loaded as other Nintendo consoles.
N64 (2nd year peak)
Launch: 1996
Peak: 1998
Gamecube (2nd year peak)
Launch: 2001
Peak: 2003
Wii (2nd year peak)
Launch: 2006
Peak: 2008
Wii U (1st year peak)
Launch: 2012
Peak: 2013
3DS (2nd year peak)
Launch: 2011
Peak: 2013
Switch (? year peak)
Launch: 2017
Peak: ?
On the contrary, PS consoles have all peaked in their 4th or 5th year with the exception of PS2.
PS1 (4th year peak)
Launch: 1994
Peak: 1998
PS2 (3rd year peak)
Launch: 2000
Peak: 2003
PS3 (5th year peak)
Launch: 2006
Peak: 2011
PS4 (4th/5th year peak)
Launch: 2013
Peak: 2017/2018
We can only speculate whether Switch will peak early or not so let's just be happy that it's selling great right now.
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It feels like the Switch is more relevant that the Wii ever was despite the Wii having the highest sales. I fully expect The Switch to continue selling really well into its third or fourth year. Maybe it will peak in its 3rd or 4th year but The Switch honestly does feel like the most accepted of Nintendos consoles in a long long time regardless of sales.
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Agreed. I think Switch will peak in 2019.
Unless of course if "Switch 2" is instead a "New Switch" or "Switch Pro" and therefore counted together with the original. In this case, Switch could peak later.
Essay Pro