Pachter: Switch on track to sell only 8 million systems this Fiscal Year

[zorg1000]

setsunatenshi said:

Mnementh said:

(1) My link exactly is about Nintendos expectations of Labo

(2) Maybe based on the fact, that it is already selling better than last year (launch period excluded). I usually prefer data over make-believe.

(3) The lowest selling Smash sold 5 million.

(4) Did gamefreak drove over your cat or something? There is this hostility coming from. That's like saying the Tomb Raider reboot was a crappy remake from the Saturn era... Say what you will, it is Pokemon and it will sell.

 

So, seeing you're that certain, why not bet on it? You're saying Switch sells worse this year than last. I say different. Let's define it: calendar year 2018 (from January to December) vs. calendar year 2017 and according to VGC-numbers. Loser gifts silver tier supporter for three months to a user of winners choice. What do you say? After all you just wrote, you must be pretty certain Switch will sell less this year. So you should take this bet, sure win.

Sorry, i only bet with an edge :). Not falling for giving you a 2 month advantage (switch was released in march 2017 with some supply constraints in the US)

 

I'll say what I originally said, they won't hit their original target, so I can bet on that. By how much they miss it, I'm not really sure, my foresight isn't that powerful.

 

I won't bait you further because deep down I think you agree with my assessment even if you're a bit more bullish than I am.

What do you mean a 2 month advantage? It's a launch month (typically biggest month outside of holidays) vs 3 regular months, they cancel out.

NPD+Media Create March 2017 was ~1.47 million, NPD+Media Create Jan-March 2018 was ~1.55 million. Shipments for that quarter were 2.76 million in 2017 and 2.93 million in 2018.

Neither year has any notable advantage.