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Miyamotoo on 13 August 2018
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Barkley said:
Miyamotoo said:

That dont change fact they are selling, VGC numbers are not most accurate we all know that, and they dont include digital sales, T2 and Bethesda said they are satisfied with sales of their games on Switch, thats why we have NBA 2K19 and new Doom game for instance.

I dont see that how future games can sell worse when games on Switch still selling very werll and Switch istall base is rapidly growing, next year Switch will have much bigger install base with much more potential buyers, you sound like Switch install base is shrinking. You cant relly comparing sales of games on same platform with 10-15m install base and with 30-40-50m+ install base.

There's plenty of precedent for games selling worse on a higher install base.

SMG launched to an install base of 15.1m and sold 11.4m copies, SMG 2 launched to an install base of 70.37m and sold 7.57m.So it had an install base almost 5 times larger but sold 44% less!

Higher Install Base doesn't necessarily mean Higher Sales for individual games. BOTW wouldn't have sold 40m if it launched to an install base of 100m.

I believe interest in third party titles such as Skyrim, Doom and Fifa will dissipate, or at least not increase substantially as the install base grows. Fifa is never going to be selling 3m+ on switch, even as it's install base grows to 80m or beyond. There are more games to choose from on Switch now, and the novelty of "ooh look we're actually getting western AAA games on a nintendo console!" will wear off.

Equally I think the people purchasing games like Fifa on the Switch aren't the type who will need to have the latest all the time. They have a Fifa game on the Switch and they probably won't bother upgrading to Fifa 19...20... etc.

SMG was far more popular game than SMG2 ever was, and in 2010. when SMG2 was launched Wii popularity start fading. I dont saying that every game will sell much better on bigger install base beacuse there are plenty curcamntes taking in account, in most cases it's logical to say that game will sell better on higher install base than on lower especially when we talking about same platform.

Offcorse that doesnt mean that Zelda BotW would sell 40m, but actually Zelda BotW proves my point how growing install base is affecting sales of games, every quarter Zelda BotW is selling around 1m more.

Skyrim will keep selling very well, Doom sales will be affected buy Doom Eternal but Doom Eternal will most likly sell more than Doom, and Fifa 2019. will easily sell more than Fifa 18, beacuse now much more people will want Fifa for Switch. I wouldnt said never when we talk about Switch potential for selling HW and SW, Switch already done plenty of things that people were saying "never". Yes there will be more games to chouse, buy Fifa will remain most popular sports game on Switch, its not like someone will buy Fifa over Zelda, they are totally difrent games with different audience and apeling. You can bet that Switch will get more AAA games how install base is growing, not less, there is reason why Wii U left whithout 3rd party support in its 1st year while Switch in its second year is getting more and more 3rd party support.

Sales of Switch games show us that wide of vairaty of games are selling good on Switch, going from small Indies to big AAA games, its very clear that games on Switch are not selling in same way like they ware on past Nintendo consoles, almost everthing is selling on Switch.