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Barkley on 13 August 2018
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Miyamotoo said:
Barkley said:

4 of the games you listed there are not Western...  and I would say some of those games didn't exactly sell "well" either. It's not a concrete term so everyone has there own ideas. But tbh I wouldn't say Doom with 0.35m "Sold Well", or NBA with 0.38m "Sold Well". "Well" is better than "Ok" which is better than "Acceptable", I would probably classify Doom as "Acceptable."

But tbh I think it's just going to get worse, we'll see. But I feel like the next Fifa will sell worse on Switch than the current. The "New console, must buy everything!" affect is wearing off, and the amount of games to choose from is increasing.

That dont change fact they are selling, VGC numbers are not most accurate we all know that, and they dont include digital sales, T2 and Bethesda said they are satisfied with sales of their games on Switch, thats why we have NBA 2K19 and new Doom game for instance.

I dont see that how future games can sell worse when games on Switch still selling very werll and Switch istall base is rapidly growing, next year Switch will have much bigger install base with much more potential buyers, you sound like Switch install base is shrinking. You cant relly comparing sales of games on same platform with 10-15m install base and with 30-40-50m+ install base.

There's plenty of precedent for games selling worse on a higher install base.

SMG launched to an install base of 15.1m and sold 11.4m copies, SMG 2 launched to an install base of 70.37m and sold 7.57m.

So it had an install base almost 5 times larger but sold 44% less!

Higher Install Base doesn't necessarily mean Higher Sales for individual games. BOTW wouldn't have sold 40m if it launched to an install base of 100m.

I believe interest in third party titles such as Skyrim, Doom and Fifa will dissipate, or at least not increase substantially as the install base grows. Fifa is never going to be selling 3m+ on switch, even as it's install base grows to 80m or beyond. There are more games to choose from on Switch now, and the novelty of "ooh look we're actually getting western AAA games on a nintendo console!" will wear off.

Equally I think the people purchasing games like Fifa on the Switch aren't the type who will need to have the latest all the time. They have a Fifa game on the Switch and they probably won't bother upgrading to Fifa 19...20... etc.