If it sold 2.5 million, it really wouldn't make a difference for a 20m total. Regardless, Sony was too pessimistic, you're right on that.
Edit: I will say, if Switch is down YoY next quarter, then it'll be pretty unlikely they reach 20m. But even then, Q3 is pretty god damn big, specially for Nintendo. So it's not set in stone until the end of the FY. Personally, I'm also expecting a big Q4. They already have a bunch of games scheduled for 2019, so a few should release early on, and Smash releases at the very end of the year, so it should carry momentum towards 2019. Also, we've seen a lot of deals recently in the west, so a price cut/bundle is always on the table.Last edited by Slarvax - on 31 July 2018