BOLD PREDICTION: Super Smash Bros Ultimate (Currently 17.68mil) Will Sell over 25mil WW Lifetime, Book IT

[The_Liquid_Laser]

tbone51 said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

It does if it has clearly exceeded 10m before in the past like Mario Kart, 2D Mario etc....  If the games are good enough then they will move hardware.  Nothing on the Wii U was "good enough".

My splatoon predictions were definelty bold though. Are you telling me these werent bold?

 

1 splatoon will ship+digital over 1mil in a month

2 splatoon will sell 1mil+ in japan

3 splatoon will sell 4mil+ lifetime WW

 

Again we arent only talking about the big franchises

That's a good point.  I'll give you those Splatoon predictions, since the game was a big unknown on the Wii U. 

Agente42 said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:
A lot of people are underestimating Smash sales, because they are severely underestimating Switch sales. The biggest reason that tbone51 can make "ridiculous" prediction threads and be right is because the market is very enthusiastic for the Switch. What tbone51 knows is that the Switch is going to be much more successful than the average person is guessing. So he can keep making these prediction threads, and then he'll keep making people eat crow until they realize that several unprecedented predictions for software mean tremendous sales for hardware.

Average you mean hardcore player. The Switch had a strong first year, so the three next year can be strong thanks to the first year. The first year of a consoles is vital to its healthy survival in its life cycle. However, the console can not be abandoned like the Wii in five years, Nintendo needs to maintain steadly support until after the successor hits the market.

My prediction : 14.5-21 M LTD with digital sales

Consoles don't need constant first party support if they have strong third party support.  Switch will have 3rd party support that is better than the 3DS, a system which is still selling even during it's eighth year on the market now.