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Right but 2017 also had pent-up demand since it was supply constrained for so long. I doubt Switch will miss its goal by a million. That seems way too drastic. Though I will be curious to see if both consoles miss their goals which will end up closer by percentage. Right now with KH3 delayed until January and no sign of a Granblue release, I can only think Switch will easily get closer if not surpass its goal. Sony's lineup is dreadful and the only way I could see them getting close is with a solid and well-stocked price cut.

Mnementh said:
Green098 said:

Very-very-unlikely to be off that much for Switch in my opinion. It's up year over year and has more big holiday releases this year for Japan than 2017 had.

The goal is double as high as the PS4-goal. 4M in Japan alone in one year is a lofty goal. Selliing 3M is already exceptional.

I wouldn't say 4M in Japan in one year is a lofty goal. If it's going to make 20M global shipments it'll need at least ~5M in Japan for the fiscal year.