Asriel said:
While I think Star Fox Grand Prix could do well, I struggle to see it becoming a Kart-style hit. We're not looking for games that *might* do well; we're looking for bankable, tried and tested selling power, which Animal Crossing has, when thinking about 10 million plus sellers. Look at the last two years on Switch. Nintendo threw out curve-ball titles like 1-2 Switch, Arms and Labo, which so far haven't done anything beyond a couple of million copies, and haven't become break-out hits. Along side those titles, Nintendo made sure they had their tried and tested, bankable hits coming out. I expect next year to be the same - two or even three guaranteed hits (Pokemon, Animal Crossing, Mario Maker/Bros), plus a series of small and middle-tier games which might become bigger sellers, but which are likely going to be in somewhere in the 1-5 million range, depending on the game: Star Fox Grand Prix, Fire Emblem, Metroid etc. |
That's only because they didn't have a game with the potential to become a smash hit though, ARMS is a great game but they probably knew the time needed between each new character's release wouldn't be enough to grip a good fanbase as opposed to Splatoon which released updates weekly, I think starting next year they'll be pushing games like Fire Emblem Three Houses to make a much bigger deal about them than they are currently, I say a Luigi's Mansion is more likely for next year than Animal Crossing and it definitely has the potential to be a 10M seller with some marketing push
